Sunday 26 November 2017, 16:00
Turf Moor
Full time
26%
28%
46%
Home win
26.5%
Draw
28.0%
Away win
45.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 26.5% | 3.78 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.0% | 3.57 | — | — |
| Arsenal | 45.5% | 2.20 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.8% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.2% | 10.86 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 28.6% | 3.50 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 44.9% | 2.23 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 55.1% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 23.6% | 4.23 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.5% | 9.53 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.5% | 1.12 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.9% | 2.00 | — | — |
| No | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley / Draw | 54.5% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Burnley / Arsenal | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw / Arsenal | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.2
|
11.4
|
8.7
|
4.2
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
| 1 |
8.0
|
13.3
|
9.0
|
4.3
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
| 2 |
4.5
|
6.5
|
4.7
|
2.2
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
1.6
|
2.2
|
1.6
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.4
|
0.6
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Arsenal
1-0
Burnley
Nov 2025
Burnley
0-2
Arsenal
Feb 2024
Burnley
0-5
Arsenal
Nov 2023
Arsenal
3-1
Burnley
Jan 2022
Arsenal
0-0
Burnley
Sep 2021
Burnley
0-1
Arsenal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.