Saturday 18 November 2017, 17:00
Turf Moor
Full time
49%
29%
22%
Home win
48.8%
Draw
29.3%
Away win
22.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 48.8% | 2.05 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.3% | 3.42 | — | — |
| Swansea | 22.0% | 4.55 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.2% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.8% | 8.45 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 65.3% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 34.7% | 2.88 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 37.7% | 2.65 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 62.3% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 18.1% | 5.54 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 81.9% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.2% | 13.80 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.8% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 42.8% | 2.34 | — | — |
| No | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley / Draw | 78.0% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Burnley / Swansea | 70.7% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw / Swansea | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.8
|
8.4
|
3.8
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
14.4
|
13.4
|
5.2
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.4
|
8.6
|
3.6
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
4.7
|
3.9
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.6
|
1.3
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.