Saturday 4 November 2017, 17:00
St. Mary's Stadium
Full time
40%
33%
27%
Home win
39.9%
Draw
33.1%
Away win
27.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | 39.9% | 2.50 | — | — |
| Draw | 33.1% | 3.02 | — | — |
| Burnley | 27.0% | 3.70 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 84.3% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 15.7% | 6.35 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 42.6% | 2.35 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 29.7% | 3.37 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 70.3% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 12.5% | 7.97 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 87.5% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.4% | 22.65 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 95.6% | 1.05 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 37.9% | 2.64 | — | — |
| No | 62.1% | 1.61 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton / Draw | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Southampton / Burnley | 66.9% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Draw / Burnley | 60.1% | 1.66 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
15.7
|
11.6
|
5.1
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
15.2
|
14.1
|
5.5
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.6
|
7.1
|
2.9
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
3.1
|
2.5
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.8
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2022
Burnley
2-0
Southampton
Oct 2021
Southampton
2-2
Burnley
Apr 2021
Southampton
3-2
Burnley
Sep 2020
Burnley
0-1
Southampton
Feb 2020
Southampton
1-2
Burnley
Aug 2019
Burnley
3-0
Southampton
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.