Sunday 1 October 2017, 16:15
Goodison Park
Full time
53%
27%
20%
Home win
53.4%
Draw
27.0%
Away win
19.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.0% | 3.71 | — | — |
| Burnley | 19.6% | 5.10 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.2% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.8% | 10.20 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 69.8% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 30.2% | 3.31 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 43.0% | 2.33 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 57.0% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 22.1% | 4.53 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 77.9% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.6% | 10.46 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.4% | 1.11 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 45.6% | 2.19 | — | — |
| No | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton / Draw | 80.4% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Everton / Burnley | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / Burnley | 46.6% | 2.15 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.8
|
6.9
|
3.2
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
13.4
|
12.6
|
5.0
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
11.0
|
9.3
|
3.9
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
5.7
|
4.8
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.2
|
1.9
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.7
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Everton
2-0
Burnley
Dec 2025
Burnley
0-0
Everton
Apr 2024
Everton
1-0
Burnley
Dec 2023
Burnley
0-2
Everton
Apr 2022
Burnley
3-2
Everton
Sep 2021
Everton
3-1
Burnley
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.