Monday 21 August 2017, 22:00
Etihad Stadium
Full time
57%
23%
20%
Home win
56.9%
Draw
23.5%
Away win
19.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.5% | 4.26 | — | — |
| Everton | 19.7% | 5.09 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.0% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.0% | 16.74 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 79.6% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 20.4% | 4.91 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 43.9% | 2.28 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 33.7% | 2.97 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 66.3% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 17.3% | 5.78 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 82.7% | 1.21 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 55.4% | 1.81 | — | — |
| No | 44.6% | 2.24 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City / Draw | 80.3% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Manchester City / Everton | 76.5% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / Everton | 43.1% | 2.32 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.0
|
4.9
|
2.9
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
9.5
|
11.1
|
5.4
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.6
|
9.9
|
5.1
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
6.1
|
6.3
|
3.2
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.9
|
3.0
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.1
|
1.1
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Everton
3-3
Manchester City
Oct 2025
Manchester City
2-0
Everton
Apr 2025
Everton
0-2
Manchester City
Dec 2024
Manchester City
1-1
Everton
Feb 2024
Manchester City
2-0
Everton
Dec 2023
Everton
1-3
Manchester City
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.