Tuesday 16 May 2017, 22:00
Etihad Stadium
Full time
67%
21%
12%
Home win
67.4%
Draw
20.5%
Away win
12.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | 67.4% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Draw | 20.5% | 4.87 | — | — |
| West Brom | 12.0% | 8.32 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.6% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.4% | 15.69 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78.2% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.8% | 4.58 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 45.9% | 2.18 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 31.8% | 3.15 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.9% | 6.28 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.1% | 1.19 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47.3% | 2.12 | — | — |
| No | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City / Draw | 88.0% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Manchester City / West Brom | 79.5% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Draw / West Brom | 32.6% | 3.07 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.4
|
3.9
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
11.6
|
9.8
|
3.5
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.6
|
9.6
|
3.7
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
8.7
|
6.7
|
2.5
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.6
|
3.5
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.9
|
1.4
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2021
West Brom
0-5
Manchester City
Dec 2020
Manchester City
1-1
West Brom
Jan 2018
Manchester City
3-0
West Brom
Oct 2017
West Brom
2-3
Manchester City
Oct 2016
West Brom
0-4
Manchester City
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.