Sunday 30 April 2017, 16:05
Riverside
Full time
17%
28%
55%
Home win
16.6%
Draw
28.0%
Away win
55.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough | 16.6% | 6.01 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.0% | 3.57 | — | — |
| Manchester City | 55.4% | 1.81 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.6% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.4% | 8.09 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 64.0% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 36.0% | 2.78 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 36.3% | 2.75 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 63.7% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 17.1% | 5.86 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 82.9% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.7% | 14.92 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.3% | 1.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 38.7% | 2.58 | — | — |
| No | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough / Draw | 44.7% | 2.24 | — | — |
| Middlesbrough / Manchester City | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw / Manchester City | 83.4% | 1.20 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.4
|
16.4
|
12.5
|
6.1
|
2.2
|
0.7
|
| 1 |
7.3
|
12.4
|
8.6
|
4.2
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
| 2 |
2.7
|
4.0
|
2.9
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
0.6
|
0.9
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.