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Saturday 8 April 2017, 17:00 Etihad Stadium Full time
79% 14% 7%
Home win
78.9%
Draw
13.9%
Away win
7.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Manchester City 78.9% 1.27
Draw 13.9% 7.18
Hull City 7.2% 13.91

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.7% 1.03
Under 0.5 3.3% 30.33
Over 1.5 87.1% 1.15
Under 1.5 12.9% 7.75
Over 2.5 68.5% 1.46
Under 2.5 31.5% 3.17
Over 3.5 47.0% 2.13
Under 3.5 53.0% 1.89
Over 4.5 28.0% 3.57
Under 4.5 72.0% 1.39

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 50.2% 1.99
No 49.8% 2.01

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Manchester City / Draw 92.8% 1.08
Manchester City / Hull City 86.1% 1.16
Draw / Hull City 21.1% 4.74

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.3
1.8
0.8
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
7.8
6.5
2.3
0.6
0.1
0.0
2
11.3
8.5
3.2
0.8
0.2
0.0
3
10.4
7.9
3.0
0.8
0.1
0.0
4
7.2
5.5
2.1
0.5
0.1
0.0
5
4.0
3.0
1.1
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Manchester City goals. Columns: Hull City goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.