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Sunday 5 March 2017, 18:00 Stadium of Light Full time
18% 22% 60%
Home win
17.8%
Draw
22.4%
Away win
59.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sunderland 17.8% 5.62
Draw 22.4% 4.46
Manchester City 59.8% 1.67

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.4% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.6% 17.90
Over 1.5 80.7% 1.24
Under 1.5 19.3% 5.17
Over 2.5 57.6% 1.73
Under 2.5 42.4% 2.36
Over 3.5 35.2% 2.84
Under 3.5 64.8% 1.54
Over 4.5 18.4% 5.42
Under 4.5 81.6% 1.23

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 55.3% 1.81
No 44.7% 2.24

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sunderland / Draw 40.2% 2.49
Sunderland / Manchester City 77.6% 1.29
Draw / Manchester City 82.2% 1.22

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.6
9.4
9.9
6.6
3.3
1.3
1
4.4
10.6
10.0
6.6
3.3
1.3
2
2.5
5.0
5.0
3.3
1.7
0.7
3
0.8
1.7
1.7
1.1
0.6
0.2
4
0.2
0.4
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.1
5
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Sunderland goals. Columns: Manchester City goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.