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Saturday 4 February 2017, 17:00 Selhurst Park Full time
56% 24% 20%
Home win
56.2%
Draw
23.7%
Away win
20.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Crystal Palace 56.2% 1.78
Draw 23.7% 4.23
Sunderland 20.1% 4.97

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.0% 1.06
Under 0.5 6.0% 16.61
Over 1.5 79.5% 1.26
Under 1.5 20.5% 4.88
Over 2.5 55.9% 1.79
Under 2.5 44.1% 2.27
Over 3.5 33.5% 2.98
Under 3.5 66.5% 1.50
Over 4.5 17.2% 5.83
Under 4.5 82.8% 1.21

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 55.5% 1.80
No 44.5% 2.25

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Crystal Palace / Draw 79.9% 1.25
Crystal Palace / Sunderland 76.3% 1.31
Draw / Sunderland 43.8% 2.28

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.0
5.0
2.9
1.0
0.3
0.1
1
9.5
11.2
5.5
1.9
0.5
0.1
2
9.5
9.9
5.2
1.8
0.5
0.1
3
5.9
6.2
3.2
1.1
0.3
0.1
4
2.8
2.9
1.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
5
1.0
1.1
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Crystal Palace goals. Columns: Sunderland goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.