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Tuesday 31 January 2017, 21:45 Vitality Stadium Full time
54% 22% 24%
Home win
54.1%
Draw
21.6%
Away win
24.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bournemouth 54.1% 1.85
Draw 21.6% 4.62
Crystal Palace 24.3% 4.12

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.7% 1.03
Under 0.5 3.3% 30.06
Over 1.5 87.7% 1.14
Under 1.5 12.3% 8.10
Over 2.5 69.2% 1.44
Under 2.5 30.8% 3.25
Over 3.5 47.9% 2.09
Under 3.5 52.1% 1.92
Over 4.5 28.8% 3.47
Under 4.5 71.2% 1.40

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 67.4% 1.48
No 32.6% 3.07

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bournemouth / Draw 75.7% 1.32
Bournemouth / Crystal Palace 78.4% 1.28
Draw / Crystal Palace 45.9% 2.18

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.3
3.5
2.8
1.3
0.5
0.1
1
5.6
9.1
6.1
2.9
1.0
0.3
2
6.6
9.3
6.5
3.1
1.1
0.3
3
4.7
6.7
4.7
2.2
0.8
0.2
4
2.5
3.6
2.5
1.2
0.4
0.1
5
1.1
1.6
1.1
0.5
0.2
0.1
Rows: Bournemouth goals. Columns: Crystal Palace goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.