Sunday 1 January 2017, 18:00
Emirates Stadium
Full time
76%
14%
10%
Home win
76.5%
Draw
13.6%
Away win
9.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 76.5% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw | 13.6% | 7.35 | — | — |
| Crystal Palace | 9.9% | 10.08 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 98.3% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 1.7% | 58.07 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 92.8% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 7.2% | 13.95 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 79.7% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 20.3% | 4.92 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 38.6% | 2.59 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 42.0% | 2.38 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 58.0% | 1.73 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 64.9% | 1.54 | — | — |
| No | 35.1% | 2.85 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal / Draw | 90.1% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Arsenal / Crystal Palace | 86.4% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Draw / Crystal Palace | 23.5% | 4.25 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
1.7
|
1.3
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
4.1
|
5.3
|
2.8
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
7.0
|
7.8
|
4.4
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
7.2
|
8.2
|
4.6
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
5.7
|
6.4
|
3.6
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
3.5
|
4.0
|
2.2
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Crystal Palace
1-2
Arsenal
Oct 2025
Arsenal
1-0
Crystal Palace
Apr 2025
Arsenal
2-2
Crystal Palace
Dec 2024
Crystal Palace
1-5
Arsenal
Jan 2024
Arsenal
5-0
Crystal Palace
Aug 2023
Crystal Palace
0-1
Arsenal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.