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Saturday 3 December 2016, 17:00 Selhurst Park Full time
36% 28% 36%
Home win
36.1%
Draw
27.9%
Away win
36.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Crystal Palace 36.1% 2.77
Draw 27.9% 3.59
Southampton 36.0% 2.78

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.8% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.2% 12.24
Over 1.5 74.0% 1.35
Under 1.5 26.0% 3.85
Over 2.5 48.2% 2.08
Under 2.5 51.8% 1.93
Over 3.5 26.4% 3.78
Under 3.5 73.6% 1.36
Over 4.5 12.3% 8.15
Under 4.5 87.7% 1.14

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 53.7% 1.86
No 46.3% 2.16

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Crystal Palace / Draw 64.0% 1.56
Crystal Palace / Southampton 72.1% 1.39
Draw / Southampton 63.9% 1.57

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.2
8.9
6.3
2.7
0.9
0.2
1
8.9
13.3
8.2
3.5
1.1
0.3
2
6.3
8.2
5.3
2.3
0.7
0.2
3
2.7
3.5
2.3
1.0
0.3
0.1
4
0.9
1.2
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Crystal Palace goals. Columns: Southampton goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.