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Sunday 6 November 2016, 16:15 KCOM Stadium Full time
21% 28% 51%
Home win
20.7%
Draw
28.2%
Away win
51.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hull City 20.7% 4.84
Draw 28.2% 3.54
Southampton 51.1% 1.96

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.0% 1.12
Under 0.5 11.0% 9.12
Over 1.5 67.2% 1.49
Under 1.5 32.8% 3.05
Over 2.5 39.9% 2.51
Under 2.5 60.1% 1.66
Over 3.5 19.7% 5.09
Under 3.5 80.3% 1.24
Over 4.5 8.1% 12.29
Under 4.5 91.9% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 43.8% 2.28
No 56.2% 1.78

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hull City / Draw 48.9% 2.05
Hull City / Southampton 71.8% 1.39
Draw / Southampton 79.3% 1.26

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.0
14.1
10.8
5.2
1.9
0.6
1
7.7
13.0
8.9
4.3
1.6
0.5
2
3.5
5.1
3.7
1.8
0.6
0.2
3
1.0
1.4
1.0
0.5
0.2
0.1
4
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Hull City goals. Columns: Southampton goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.