Skip to content
Saturday 22 October 2016, 17:00 KCOM Stadium Full time
40% 24% 36%
Home win
39.7%
Draw
24.4%
Away win
35.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hull City 39.7% 2.52
Draw 24.4% 4.09
Stoke City 35.8% 2.79

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.5% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.5% 22.18
Over 1.5 84.1% 1.19
Under 1.5 15.9% 6.28
Over 2.5 63.0% 1.59
Under 2.5 37.0% 2.70
Over 3.5 40.8% 2.45
Under 3.5 59.2% 1.69
Over 4.5 22.8% 4.39
Under 4.5 77.2% 1.29

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 65.0% 1.54
No 35.0% 2.86

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hull City / Draw 64.2% 1.56
Hull City / Stoke City 75.6% 1.32
Draw / Stoke City 60.3% 1.66

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.5
5.5
4.8
2.5
1.0
0.3
1
5.9
10.9
8.1
4.2
1.7
0.5
2
5.4
8.5
6.7
3.5
1.4
0.4
3
3.0
4.8
3.8
2.0
0.8
0.2
4
1.3
2.0
1.6
0.8
0.3
0.1
5
0.4
0.7
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Hull City goals. Columns: Stoke City goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.