Saturday 24 September 2016, 17:00
bet365 Stadium
Full time
22%
25%
53%
Home win
22.0%
Draw
25.4%
Away win
52.6%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City | 22.0% | 4.54 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.4% | 3.94 | — | — |
| West Brom | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.7% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.3% | 13.76 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.8% | 4.20 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 48.8% | 2.05 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.1% | 3.44 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.9% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.0% | 7.13 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.0% | 1.16 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
| No | 47.0% | 2.13 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City / Draw | 47.4% | 2.11 | — | — |
| Stoke City / West Brom | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / West Brom | 78.0% | 1.28 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.3
|
10.5
|
9.5
|
5.4
|
2.3
|
0.8
|
| 1 |
6.0
|
12.1
|
9.7
|
5.5
|
2.3
|
0.8
|
| 2 |
3.4
|
5.8
|
5.0
|
2.8
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
1.2
|
2.0
|
1.7
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.3
|
0.5
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Dec 2017
Stoke City
3-1
West Brom
Aug 2017
West Brom
1-1
Stoke City
Feb 2017
West Brom
1-0
Stoke City
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.