Saturday 27 August 2016, 17:00
Goodison Park
Full time
7%
85%
8%
Home win
6.8%
Draw
84.9%
Away win
8.2%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | 6.8% | 14.66 | — | — |
| Draw | 84.9% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Stoke City | 8.2% | 12.15 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 15.7% | 6.37 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 84.3% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 1.3% | 74.29 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 98.7% | 1.01 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 0.1% | 1,351.35 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 99.9% | 1.00 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 0.0% | 33,333.33 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 100.0% | 1.00 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 0.0% | — | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 100.0% | 1.00 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0.7% | 141.84 | — | — |
| No | 99.3% | 1.01 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton / Draw | 91.8% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Everton / Stoke City | 15.1% | 6.64 | — | — |
| Draw / Stoke City | 93.2% | 1.07 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
84.3
|
7.8
|
0.4
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
6.5
|
0.7
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.