Saturday 12 August 2017, 17:00
Goodison Park
Full time
61%
23%
15%
Home win
61.4%
Draw
23.2%
Away win
15.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.2% | 4.31 | — | — |
| Stoke City | 15.4% | 6.49 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.6% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.4% | 13.55 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 24.3% | 4.11 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 49.5% | 2.02 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 28.5% | 3.51 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.6% | 7.34 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.4% | 1.16 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.2% | 2.08 | — | — |
| No | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton / Draw | 84.6% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Everton / Stoke City | 76.8% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Draw / Stoke City | 38.6% | 2.59 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.4
|
5.0
|
2.3
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
12.0
|
11.1
|
4.3
|
1.2
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.8
|
9.7
|
4.0
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
7.3
|
6.1
|
2.5
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.4
|
2.8
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.3
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.