Sunday 21 May 2017, 17:00
Emirates Stadium
Full time
52%
24%
24%
Home win
52.0%
Draw
24.1%
Away win
23.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.1% | 4.16 | — | — |
| Everton | 23.9% | 4.18 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.6% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.4% | 18.39 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.2% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 18.8% | 5.33 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 41.5% | 2.41 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 36.1% | 2.77 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 63.9% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 19.1% | 5.24 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 80.9% | 1.24 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | — |
| No | 40.8% | 2.45 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal / Draw | 76.1% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Arsenal / Everton | 75.9% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / Everton | 48.0% | 2.09 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.4
|
5.1
|
3.4
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
8.2
|
11.2
|
6.3
|
2.5
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
8.2
|
9.7
|
5.8
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
5.0
|
6.0
|
3.6
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.3
|
2.8
|
1.6
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.9
|
1.0
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Arsenal
2-0
Everton
Dec 2025
Everton
0-1
Arsenal
Apr 2025
Everton
1-1
Arsenal
Dec 2024
Arsenal
0-0
Everton
May 2024
Arsenal
2-1
Everton
Sep 2023
Everton
0-1
Arsenal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.