Friday 12 May 2017, 21:45
Goodison Park
Full time
72%
18%
10%
Home win
71.5%
Draw
18.2%
Away win
10.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Draw | 18.2% | 5.50 | — | — |
| Watford | 10.3% | 9.74 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.9% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.1% | 19.60 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.7% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 18.3% | 5.46 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 40.6% | 2.46 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 37.0% | 2.70 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 19.8% | 5.06 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 80.2% | 1.25 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.8% | 2.05 | — | — |
| No | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton / Draw | 89.7% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Everton / Watford | 81.8% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Draw / Watford | 28.5% | 3.51 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.1
|
3.1
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
10.2
|
8.7
|
3.1
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.3
|
9.4
|
3.6
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.5
|
7.3
|
2.8
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
5.5
|
4.2
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.5
|
1.9
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2022
Watford
0-0
Everton
Oct 2021
Everton
2-5
Watford
Feb 2020
Watford
2-3
Everton
Aug 2019
Everton
1-0
Watford
Feb 2019
Watford
1-0
Everton
Dec 2018
Everton
2-2
Watford
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.