Monday 1 May 2017, 22:00
Vicarage Road
Full time
22%
23%
55%
Home win
21.9%
Draw
23.0%
Away win
55.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | 21.9% | 4.56 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.0% | 4.35 | — | — |
| Liverpool | 55.1% | 1.81 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.1% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.9% | 20.46 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.8% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 17.2% | 5.81 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 39.1% | 2.56 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 38.6% | 2.59 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 21.0% | 4.75 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 79.0% | 1.27 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 60.2% | 1.66 | — | — |
| No | 39.8% | 2.51 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford / Draw | 44.9% | 2.23 | — | — |
| Watford / Liverpool | 77.0% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Draw / Liverpool | 78.1% | 1.28 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.9
|
7.9
|
8.3
|
5.5
|
2.7
|
1.1
|
| 1 |
4.5
|
10.6
|
9.8
|
6.4
|
3.2
|
1.2
|
| 2 |
3.0
|
5.9
|
5.8
|
3.8
|
1.9
|
0.7
|
| 3 |
1.2
|
2.3
|
2.3
|
1.5
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
| 4 |
0.3
|
0.7
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2022
Liverpool
2-0
Watford
Oct 2021
Watford
0-5
Liverpool
Feb 2020
Watford
3-0
Liverpool
Dec 2019
Liverpool
2-0
Watford
Feb 2019
Liverpool
5-0
Watford
Nov 2018
Watford
0-3
Liverpool
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.