Saturday 8 April 2017, 17:00
bet365 Stadium
Full time
26%
25%
48%
Home win
26.3%
Draw
25.2%
Away win
48.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City | 26.3% | 3.81 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.2% | 3.96 | — | — |
| Liverpool | 48.5% | 2.06 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.9% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.1% | 16.27 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 79.3% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 20.7% | 4.83 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 44.5% | 2.25 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 33.1% | 3.02 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 66.9% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 16.9% | 5.92 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 83.1% | 1.20 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
| No | 42.1% | 2.37 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City / Draw | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Stoke City / Liverpool | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Liverpool | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.1
|
8.7
|
7.9
|
4.5
|
1.9
|
0.7
|
| 1 |
5.9
|
11.9
|
9.5
|
5.4
|
2.3
|
0.8
|
| 2 |
4.0
|
6.7
|
5.7
|
3.3
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
| 3 |
1.6
|
2.7
|
2.3
|
1.3
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.5
|
0.8
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2018
Liverpool
0-0
Stoke City
Nov 2017
Stoke City
0-3
Liverpool
Dec 2016
Liverpool
4-1
Stoke City
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.