Sunday 19 March 2017, 18:30
Etihad Stadium
Full time
50%
23%
27%
Home win
50.0%
Draw
23.3%
Away win
26.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | 50.0% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.3% | 4.29 | — | — |
| Liverpool | 26.7% | 3.74 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.7% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.3% | 23.33 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 84.7% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 15.3% | 6.53 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 64.0% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 36.0% | 2.78 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 41.9% | 2.39 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 23.7% | 4.22 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 64.3% | 1.55 | — | — |
| No | 35.7% | 2.80 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City / Draw | 73.3% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Manchester City / Liverpool | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Draw / Liverpool | 50.0% | 2.00 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.3
|
4.5
|
3.5
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
6.5
|
10.4
|
6.7
|
3.1
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
6.9
|
9.4
|
6.4
|
2.9
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
4.4
|
6.0
|
4.1
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
2.1
|
2.9
|
2.0
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.8
|
1.1
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Liverpool
1-2
Manchester City
Nov 2025
Manchester City
3-0
Liverpool
Feb 2025
Manchester City
0-2
Liverpool
Dec 2024
Liverpool
2-0
Manchester City
Mar 2024
Liverpool
1-1
Manchester City
Nov 2023
Manchester City
1-1
Liverpool
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.