Wednesday 29 November 2017, 22:00
bet365 Stadium
Full time
22%
23%
55%
Home win
22.2%
Draw
23.3%
Away win
54.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City | 22.2% | 4.51 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.3% | 4.30 | — | — |
| Liverpool | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.9% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.1% | 19.62 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.2% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 17.8% | 5.61 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 40.0% | 2.50 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 37.6% | 2.66 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 20.2% | 4.94 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 79.8% | 1.25 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
| No | 40.4% | 2.47 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City / Draw | 45.4% | 2.20 | — | — |
| Stoke City / Liverpool | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Draw / Liverpool | 77.8% | 1.28 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.1
|
8.1
|
8.4
|
5.4
|
2.6
|
1.0
|
| 1 |
4.6
|
10.8
|
9.8
|
6.3
|
3.1
|
1.2
|
| 2 |
3.1
|
5.9
|
5.7
|
3.7
|
1.8
|
0.7
|
| 3 |
1.2
|
2.3
|
2.2
|
1.4
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
| 4 |
0.4
|
0.7
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2018
Liverpool
0-0
Stoke City
Apr 2017
Stoke City
1-2
Liverpool
Dec 2016
Liverpool
4-1
Stoke City
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.