Saturday 25 November 2017, 19:30
Anfield
Full time
35%
25%
39%
Home win
35.3%
Draw
25.2%
Away win
39.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 35.3% | 2.83 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.2% | 3.96 | — | — |
| Chelsea | 39.4% | 2.53 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.7% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.3% | 18.96 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.8% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 18.2% | 5.50 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 40.7% | 2.46 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 37.0% | 2.71 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 19.7% | 5.06 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 80.3% | 1.25 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 62.2% | 1.61 | — | — |
| No | 37.8% | 2.65 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool / Draw | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Liverpool / Chelsea | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Chelsea | 64.7% | 1.55 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.3
|
6.7
|
5.8
|
3.1
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
| 1 |
6.2
|
11.6
|
8.6
|
4.6
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
| 2 |
5.1
|
8.1
|
6.4
|
3.4
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
2.5
|
4.0
|
3.2
|
1.7
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.9
|
1.5
|
1.2
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Liverpool
1-1
Chelsea
Oct 2025
Chelsea
2-1
Liverpool
May 2025
Chelsea
3-1
Liverpool
Oct 2024
Liverpool
2-1
Chelsea
Jan 2024
Liverpool
4-1
Chelsea
Aug 2023
Chelsea
1-1
Liverpool
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.