Saturday 14 October 2017, 17:00
Selhurst Park
Full time
12%
19%
69%
Home win
12.0%
Draw
19.2%
Away win
68.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 12.0% | 8.35 | — | — |
| Draw | 19.2% | 5.21 | — | — |
| Chelsea | 68.8% | 1.45 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.9% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.1% | 19.78 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.9% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 18.1% | 5.54 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 59.7% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 40.3% | 2.48 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 37.3% | 2.68 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 62.7% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 20.0% | 4.99 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 80.0% | 1.25 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 51.4% | 1.95 | — | — |
| No | 48.6% | 2.06 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace / Draw | 31.2% | 3.21 | — | — |
| Crystal Palace / Chelsea | 80.8% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Draw / Chelsea | 88.0% | 1.14 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.1
|
9.7
|
11.5
|
8.6
|
4.9
|
2.2
|
| 1 |
3.3
|
9.1
|
9.7
|
7.3
|
4.1
|
1.8
|
| 2 |
1.6
|
3.6
|
4.1
|
3.0
|
1.7
|
0.8
|
| 3 |
0.4
|
1.0
|
1.1
|
0.9
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Crystal Palace
1-3
Chelsea
Aug 2025
Chelsea
0-0
Crystal Palace
Jan 2025
Crystal Palace
1-1
Chelsea
Sep 2024
Chelsea
1-1
Crystal Palace
Feb 2024
Crystal Palace
1-3
Chelsea
Dec 2023
Chelsea
2-1
Crystal Palace
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.