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Sunday 17 September 2017, 15:30 Stamford Bridge Full time
0–0
HT 0–0
61% 21% 18%
Home win
61.2%
Draw
20.7%
Away win
18.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Chelsea 61.2% 1.63
Draw 20.7% 4.84
Arsenal 18.1% 5.51

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.1% 1.04
Under 0.5 3.9% 25.47
Over 1.5 85.6% 1.17
Under 1.5 14.4% 6.95
Over 2.5 65.7% 1.52
Under 2.5 34.3% 2.91
Over 3.5 43.7% 2.29
Under 3.5 56.3% 1.78
Over 4.5 25.2% 3.96
Under 4.5 74.8% 1.34

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 61.6% 1.62
No 38.4% 2.60

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Chelsea / Draw 81.9% 1.22
Chelsea / Arsenal 79.3% 1.26
Draw / Arsenal 38.8% 2.58

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.9
3.4
2.3
0.9
0.3
0.1
1
7.1
9.3
5.0
1.9
0.6
0.1
2
8.4
9.7
5.6
2.2
0.6
0.1
3
6.3
7.2
4.2
1.6
0.5
0.1
4
3.5
4.0
2.3
0.9
0.3
0.1
5
1.6
1.8
1.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
Rows: Chelsea goals. Columns: Arsenal goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.