Sunday 17 September 2017, 15:30
Stamford Bridge
Full time
61%
21%
18%
Home win
61.2%
Draw
20.7%
Away win
18.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Draw | 20.7% | 4.84 | — | — |
| Arsenal | 18.1% | 5.51 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.1% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.9% | 25.47 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 85.6% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 14.4% | 6.95 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 65.7% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 34.3% | 2.91 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 43.7% | 2.29 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 25.2% | 3.96 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 61.6% | 1.62 | — | — |
| No | 38.4% | 2.60 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea / Draw | 81.9% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Chelsea / Arsenal | 79.3% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Draw / Arsenal | 38.8% | 2.58 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.9
|
3.4
|
2.3
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
7.1
|
9.3
|
5.0
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.4
|
9.7
|
5.6
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
6.3
|
7.2
|
4.2
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
3.5
|
4.0
|
2.3
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
1.6
|
1.8
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Arsenal
2-1
Chelsea
Nov 2025
Chelsea
1-1
Arsenal
Mar 2025
Arsenal
1-0
Chelsea
Nov 2024
Chelsea
1-1
Arsenal
Apr 2024
Arsenal
5-0
Chelsea
Oct 2023
Chelsea
2-2
Arsenal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.