Saturday 9 September 2017, 17:00
Emirates Stadium
Full time
68%
18%
14%
Home win
68.3%
Draw
17.7%
Away win
14.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 68.3% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Draw | 17.7% | 5.67 | — | — |
| Bournemouth | 14.1% | 7.09 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.1% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.9% | 34.70 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 88.9% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 11.1% | 8.99 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 28.4% | 3.52 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 49.3% | 2.03 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 31.4% | 3.18 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 68.6% | 1.46 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
| No | 37.1% | 2.69 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal / Draw | 85.9% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Arsenal / Bournemouth | 82.4% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Draw / Bournemouth | 31.7% | 3.15 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.9
|
2.3
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
5.9
|
7.6
|
4.0
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.2
|
9.2
|
5.2
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
7.0
|
7.9
|
4.5
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
4.5
|
5.1
|
2.9
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
2.3
|
2.6
|
1.5
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Arsenal
1-2
Bournemouth
Jan 2026
Bournemouth
2-3
Arsenal
May 2025
Arsenal
1-2
Bournemouth
Oct 2024
Bournemouth
2-0
Arsenal
May 2024
Arsenal
3-0
Bournemouth
Sep 2023
Bournemouth
0-4
Arsenal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.