Saturday 26 August 2017, 14:30
Vitality Stadium
Full time
20%
22%
58%
Home win
20.3%
Draw
21.9%
Away win
57.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth | 20.3% | 4.93 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.9% | 4.57 | — | — |
| Manchester City | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.7% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.3% | 23.11 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 84.4% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 15.6% | 6.43 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 63.6% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 36.4% | 2.75 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 41.5% | 2.41 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 23.4% | 4.28 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 76.6% | 1.30 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
| No | 38.7% | 2.59 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth / Draw | 42.1% | 2.37 | — | — |
| Bournemouth / Manchester City | 78.1% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Draw / Manchester City | 79.7% | 1.25 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.3
|
7.3
|
8.3
|
5.8
|
3.0
|
1.3
|
| 1 |
3.9
|
9.9
|
9.8
|
6.8
|
3.6
|
1.5
|
| 2 |
2.6
|
5.5
|
5.8
|
4.0
|
2.1
|
0.9
|
| 3 |
1.0
|
2.2
|
2.3
|
1.6
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
| 4 |
0.3
|
0.6
|
0.7
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Bournemouth
1-1
Manchester City
Nov 2025
Manchester City
3-1
Bournemouth
May 2025
Manchester City
3-1
Bournemouth
Nov 2024
Bournemouth
2-1
Manchester City
Feb 2024
Bournemouth
0-1
Manchester City
Nov 2023
Manchester City
6-1
Bournemouth
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.