Saturday 6 May 2017, 17:00
Vitality Stadium
Full time
50%
25%
24%
Home win
50.5%
Draw
25.1%
Away win
24.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.1% | 3.99 | — | — |
| Stoke City | 24.5% | 4.09 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.7% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.3% | 15.87 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78.8% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.2% | 4.72 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 45.1% | 2.22 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 32.5% | 3.08 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 67.5% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 16.4% | 6.08 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 83.6% | 1.20 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| No | 43.2% | 2.31 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth / Draw | 75.5% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Bournemouth / Stoke City | 74.9% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw / Stoke City | 49.5% | 2.02 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.3
|
5.8
|
3.7
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
9.1
|
11.8
|
6.4
|
2.4
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
8.5
|
9.7
|
5.5
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.9
|
5.6
|
3.2
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.1
|
2.4
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.7
|
0.8
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2018
Bournemouth
2-1
Stoke City
Oct 2017
Stoke City
1-2
Bournemouth
Nov 2016
Stoke City
0-1
Bournemouth
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.