Skip to content
Saturday 15 April 2017, 17:00 bet365 Stadium Full time
55% 25% 20%
Home win
55.3%
Draw
24.9%
Away win
19.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Stoke City 55.3% 1.81
Draw 24.9% 4.01
Hull City 19.8% 5.05

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.6% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.4% 13.45
Over 1.5 75.7% 1.32
Under 1.5 24.3% 4.11
Over 2.5 50.5% 1.98
Under 2.5 49.5% 2.02
Over 3.5 28.4% 3.51
Under 3.5 71.6% 1.40
Over 4.5 13.6% 7.35
Under 4.5 86.4% 1.16

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.3% 1.95
No 48.7% 2.05

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Stoke City / Draw 80.2% 1.25
Stoke City / Hull City 75.1% 1.33
Draw / Hull City 44.7% 2.24

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.4
5.8
3.1
1.0
0.2
0.0
1
11.1
11.9
5.3
1.7
0.4
0.1
2
10.3
9.8
4.7
1.5
0.4
0.1
3
5.9
5.7
2.7
0.9
0.2
0.0
4
2.6
2.5
1.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
0.9
0.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Stoke City goals. Columns: Hull City goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.