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Saturday 11 March 2017, 17:00 KCOM Stadium Full time
2–1
HT 0–0
40% 25% 34%
Home win
40.4%
Draw
25.1%
Away win
34.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hull City 40.4% 2.47
Draw 25.1% 3.99
Swansea 34.5% 2.90

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.9% 1.05
Under 0.5 5.1% 19.44
Over 1.5 82.2% 1.22
Under 1.5 17.8% 5.62
Over 2.5 59.9% 1.67
Under 2.5 40.1% 2.50
Over 3.5 37.6% 2.66
Under 3.5 62.4% 1.60
Over 4.5 20.2% 4.95
Under 4.5 79.8% 1.25

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 62.6% 1.60
No 37.4% 2.68

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hull City / Draw 65.5% 1.53
Hull City / Swansea 74.9% 1.33
Draw / Swansea 59.6% 1.68

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.1
6.0
4.9
2.4
0.9
0.3
1
6.6
11.4
8.0
4.0
1.5
0.4
2
5.9
8.7
6.5
3.2
1.2
0.4
3
3.2
4.7
3.5
1.7
0.6
0.2
4
1.3
1.9
1.4
0.7
0.3
0.1
5
0.4
0.6
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Hull City goals. Columns: Swansea goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.