Saturday 4 March 2017, 17:00
Liberty Stadium
Full time
39%
26%
34%
Home win
39.3%
Draw
26.4%
Away win
34.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea | 39.3% | 2.55 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.4% | 3.79 | — | — |
| Burnley | 34.3% | 2.91 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.5% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.5% | 15.34 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78.3% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.7% | 4.62 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 45.9% | 2.18 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 31.8% | 3.14 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.9% | 6.28 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.1% | 1.19 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
| No | 41.8% | 2.39 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea / Draw | 65.7% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Swansea / Burnley | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / Burnley | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.5
|
7.2
|
5.4
|
2.5
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
7.9
|
12.5
|
8.0
|
3.7
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
6.3
|
8.7
|
5.9
|
2.7
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
3.1
|
4.3
|
2.9
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.2
|
1.6
|
1.1
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.