Saturday 10 February 2018, 17:00
Liberty Stadium
Full time
34%
34%
33%
Home win
33.6%
Draw
33.9%
Away win
32.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea | 33.6% | 2.97 | — | — |
| Draw | 33.9% | 2.95 | — | — |
| Burnley | 32.5% | 3.07 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 83.6% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 16.4% | 6.10 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 43.7% | 2.29 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 28.5% | 3.51 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 11.8% | 8.45 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 88.2% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.1% | 24.49 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 95.9% | 1.04 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 37.4% | 2.67 | — | — |
| No | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea / Draw | 67.5% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Swansea / Burnley | 66.1% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Draw / Burnley | 66.4% | 1.51 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
16.4
|
13.5
|
6.6
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
13.8
|
14.3
|
6.2
|
1.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
6.9
|
6.3
|
2.9
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
2.2
|
2.0
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.5
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.