Saturday 20 January 2018, 17:00
Turf Moor
Full time
18%
32%
50%
Home win
18.4%
Draw
32.0%
Away win
49.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 18.4% | 5.44 | — | — |
| Draw | 32.0% | 3.13 | — | — |
| Manchester United | 49.6% | 2.01 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 83.2% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 16.8% | 5.97 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 44.7% | 2.24 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 27.8% | 3.60 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 72.2% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 11.4% | 8.80 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 88.6% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 3.9% | 25.87 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 96.1% | 1.04 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 33.2% | 3.01 | — | — |
| No | 66.8% | 1.50 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley / Draw | 50.4% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Burnley / Manchester United | 68.0% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Draw / Manchester United | 81.6% | 1.22 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
16.8
|
18.7
|
11.7
|
4.7
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
9.3
|
12.8
|
7.3
|
2.9
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
3.1
|
3.8
|
2.3
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
0.6
|
0.8
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Burnley
2-2
Manchester United
Aug 2025
Manchester United
3-2
Burnley
Apr 2024
Manchester United
1-1
Burnley
Sep 2023
Burnley
0-1
Manchester United
Feb 2022
Burnley
1-1
Manchester United
Dec 2021
Manchester United
3-1
Burnley
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.