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Saturday 23 December 2017, 19:30 Turf Moor Full time
0–3
HT 0–1
18% 29% 53%
Home win
18.0%
Draw
28.6%
Away win
53.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Burnley 18.0% 5.55
Draw 28.6% 3.49
Tottenham 53.3% 1.87

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.5% 1.14
Under 0.5 12.5% 7.99
Over 1.5 63.7% 1.57
Under 1.5 36.3% 2.75
Over 2.5 36.0% 2.78
Under 2.5 64.0% 1.56
Over 3.5 16.8% 5.94
Under 3.5 83.2% 1.20
Over 4.5 6.6% 15.19
Under 4.5 93.4% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 39.4% 2.54
No 60.6% 1.65

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Burnley / Draw 46.7% 2.14
Burnley / Tottenham 71.4% 1.40
Draw / Tottenham 82.0% 1.22

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.5
16.1
12.0
5.7
2.0
0.6
1
7.7
12.7
8.5
4.0
1.4
0.4
2
3.0
4.3
3.0
1.4
0.5
0.1
3
0.7
1.0
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Burnley goals. Columns: Tottenham goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.