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Saturday 2 December 2017, 17:00 Vicarage Road Full time
1–1
HT 1–1
14% 21% 65%
Home win
14.3%
Draw
20.8%
Away win
64.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Watford 14.3% 6.98
Draw 20.8% 4.81
Tottenham 64.9% 1.54

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.6% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.4% 18.47
Over 1.5 81.0% 1.23
Under 1.5 19.0% 5.27
Over 2.5 58.2% 1.72
Under 2.5 41.8% 2.39
Over 3.5 35.8% 2.79
Under 3.5 64.2% 1.56
Over 4.5 18.9% 5.29
Under 4.5 81.1% 1.23

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 52.9% 1.89
No 47.1% 2.12

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Watford / Draw 35.1% 2.85
Watford / Tottenham 79.2% 1.26
Draw / Tottenham 85.7% 1.17

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.4
9.8
11.0
7.8
4.1
1.7
1
3.8
9.9
9.9
7.0
3.7
1.6
2
2.0
4.2
4.4
3.1
1.7
0.7
3
0.6
1.3
1.3
0.9
0.5
0.2
4
0.1
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Watford goals. Columns: Tottenham goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.