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Sunday 2 September 2018, 18:00 Vicarage Road Full time
2–1
HT 0–0
15% 21% 64%
Home win
14.5%
Draw
21.1%
Away win
64.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Watford 14.5% 6.88
Draw 21.1% 4.74
Tottenham 64.4% 1.55

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.4% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.6% 17.79
Over 1.5 80.4% 1.24
Under 1.5 19.6% 5.11
Over 2.5 57.3% 1.74
Under 2.5 42.7% 2.34
Over 3.5 34.9% 2.86
Under 3.5 65.1% 1.54
Over 4.5 18.2% 5.49
Under 4.5 81.8% 1.22

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 52.4% 1.91
No 47.6% 2.10

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Watford / Draw 35.6% 2.81
Watford / Tottenham 78.9% 1.27
Draw / Tottenham 85.5% 1.17

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.6
10.0
11.0
7.7
4.0
1.7
1
4.0
10.0
9.9
6.9
3.6
1.5
2
2.0
4.2
4.4
3.1
1.6
0.7
3
0.6
1.3
1.3
0.9
0.5
0.2
4
0.1
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Watford goals. Columns: Tottenham goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.