Monday 30 April 2018, 22:00
Wembley Stadium
Full time
83%
12%
5%
Home win
83.3%
Draw
11.8%
Away win
4.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham | 83.3% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Draw | 11.8% | 8.47 | — | — |
| Watford | 4.9% | 20.38 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.7% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.3% | 30.55 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 87.0% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 13.0% | 7.67 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 68.3% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 31.7% | 3.16 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 46.8% | 2.14 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 27.9% | 3.59 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 43.9% | 2.28 | — | — |
| No | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham / Draw | 95.1% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Tottenham / Watford | 88.2% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Draw / Watford | 16.7% | 5.99 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.3
|
1.5
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
8.3
|
5.6
|
1.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.5
|
7.7
|
2.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
12.1
|
7.5
|
2.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
8.8
|
5.4
|
1.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
5.1
|
3.1
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2022
Watford
0-1
Tottenham
Aug 2021
Tottenham
1-0
Watford
Jan 2020
Watford
0-0
Tottenham
Oct 2019
Tottenham
1-1
Watford
Jan 2019
Tottenham
2-1
Watford
Sep 2018
Watford
2-1
Tottenham
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.