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Saturday 14 April 2018, 21:45 Wembley Stadium Full time
45% 26% 29%
Home win
44.7%
Draw
26.0%
Away win
29.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Tottenham 44.7% 2.24
Draw 26.0% 3.84
Manchester City 29.2% 3.42

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.5% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.5% 15.31
Over 1.5 78.3% 1.28
Under 1.5 21.7% 4.60
Over 2.5 54.0% 1.85
Under 2.5 46.0% 2.18
Over 3.5 31.7% 3.15
Under 3.5 68.3% 1.46
Over 4.5 15.9% 6.30
Under 4.5 84.1% 1.19

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 57.5% 1.74
No 42.5% 2.35

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Tottenham / Draw 70.8% 1.41
Tottenham / Manchester City 74.0% 1.35
Draw / Manchester City 55.3% 1.81

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.5
6.6
4.5
1.9
0.6
0.1
1
8.6
12.3
7.2
3.0
0.9
0.2
2
7.4
9.2
5.8
2.4
0.7
0.2
3
3.9
4.9
3.1
1.3
0.4
0.1
4
1.6
2.0
1.2
0.5
0.2
0.0
5
0.5
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Tottenham goals. Columns: Manchester City goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.