Sunday 4 March 2018, 18:00
Etihad Stadium
Full time
56%
23%
21%
Home win
55.6%
Draw
23.4%
Away win
21.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.4% | 4.28 | — | — |
| Chelsea | 21.1% | 4.75 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.5% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.5% | 18.30 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.1% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 18.9% | 5.29 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 58.3% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 41.7% | 2.40 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 35.9% | 2.79 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 64.1% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 18.9% | 5.28 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 81.1% | 1.23 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
| No | 42.2% | 2.37 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City / Draw | 78.9% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Manchester City / Chelsea | 76.6% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Draw / Chelsea | 44.4% | 2.25 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.5
|
4.8
|
3.0
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
8.7
|
10.9
|
5.7
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.9
|
9.9
|
5.5
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.7
|
6.3
|
3.5
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.7
|
3.0
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.0
|
1.2
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Chelsea
0-3
Manchester City
Jan 2026
Manchester City
1-1
Chelsea
Jan 2025
Manchester City
3-1
Chelsea
Aug 2024
Chelsea
0-2
Manchester City
Feb 2024
Manchester City
1-1
Chelsea
Nov 2023
Chelsea
4-4
Manchester City
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.