Monday 12 February 2018, 22:00
Stamford Bridge
Full time
73%
19%
8%
Home win
73.0%
Draw
18.7%
Away win
8.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw | 18.7% | 5.36 | — | — |
| West Brom | 8.4% | 11.94 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.0% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.0% | 14.38 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.7% | 4.22 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 48.4% | 2.07 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.5% | 3.40 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.5% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.3% | 6.99 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.7% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 39.9% | 2.50 | — | — |
| No | 60.1% | 1.66 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea / Draw | 91.6% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Chelsea / West Brom | 81.3% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Draw / West Brom | 27.0% | 3.70 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.0
|
3.3
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
13.4
|
8.7
|
2.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
14.9
|
8.8
|
2.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
10.7
|
6.3
|
1.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
5.7
|
3.4
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.5
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2021
Chelsea
2-5
West Brom
Sep 2020
West Brom
3-3
Chelsea
Nov 2017
West Brom
0-4
Chelsea
May 2017
West Brom
0-1
Chelsea
Dec 2016
Chelsea
1-0
West Brom
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.