Saturday 18 November 2017, 17:00
The Hawthorns
Full time
17%
25%
58%
Home win
16.9%
Draw
25.2%
Away win
57.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom | 16.9% | 5.91 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.2% | 3.98 | — | — |
| Chelsea | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.2% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.8% | 11.34 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 27.9% | 3.58 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 45.8% | 2.18 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 54.2% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 24.4% | 4.10 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.0% | 9.11 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.0% | 1.12 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 46.0% | 2.18 | — | — |
| No | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom / Draw | 42.1% | 2.38 | — | — |
| West Brom / Chelsea | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Chelsea | 83.1% | 1.20 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.8
|
13.2
|
11.8
|
6.7
|
2.8
|
1.0
|
| 1 |
5.9
|
11.9
|
9.5
|
5.4
|
2.3
|
0.8
|
| 2 |
2.7
|
4.5
|
3.8
|
2.2
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
0.7
|
1.2
|
1.0
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2021
Chelsea
2-5
West Brom
Sep 2020
West Brom
3-3
Chelsea
Feb 2018
Chelsea
3-0
West Brom
May 2017
West Brom
0-1
Chelsea
Dec 2016
Chelsea
1-0
West Brom
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.