Friday 12 May 2017, 22:00
The Hawthorns
Full time
19%
26%
55%
Home win
19.4%
Draw
25.7%
Away win
54.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom | 19.4% | 5.17 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.7% | 3.89 | — | — |
| Chelsea | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.6% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.4% | 11.84 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 26.9% | 3.72 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 47.1% | 2.12 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 25.5% | 3.93 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.7% | 8.58 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.3% | 1.13 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.5% | 2.06 | — | — |
| No | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom / Draw | 45.1% | 2.22 | — | — |
| West Brom / Chelsea | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw / Chelsea | 80.6% | 1.24 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.4
|
12.2
|
10.7
|
6.0
|
2.5
|
0.8
|
| 1 |
6.2
|
12.2
|
9.6
|
5.3
|
2.2
|
0.7
|
| 2 |
3.1
|
5.1
|
4.3
|
2.4
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
0.9
|
1.5
|
1.3
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2021
Chelsea
2-5
West Brom
Sep 2020
West Brom
3-3
Chelsea
Feb 2018
Chelsea
3-0
West Brom
Nov 2017
West Brom
0-4
Chelsea
Dec 2016
Chelsea
1-0
West Brom
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.