Sunday 11 December 2016, 14:00
Stamford Bridge
Full time
71%
18%
10%
Home win
71.2%
Draw
18.4%
Away win
10.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 71.2% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Draw | 18.4% | 5.43 | — | — |
| West Brom | 10.3% | 9.69 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.7% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.3% | 18.85 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.1% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 18.9% | 5.29 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 41.5% | 2.41 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 36.1% | 2.77 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 63.9% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 19.1% | 5.25 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 80.9% | 1.24 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.2% | 2.08 | — | — |
| No | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea / Draw | 89.7% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Chelsea / West Brom | 81.6% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Draw / West Brom | 28.8% | 3.48 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.3
|
3.1
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
10.5
|
8.8
|
3.1
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.5
|
9.4
|
3.6
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.5
|
7.2
|
2.7
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
5.4
|
4.1
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.5
|
1.9
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2021
Chelsea
2-5
West Brom
Sep 2020
West Brom
3-3
Chelsea
Feb 2018
Chelsea
3-0
West Brom
Nov 2017
West Brom
0-4
Chelsea
May 2017
West Brom
0-1
Chelsea
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.