Monday 21 November 2016, 22:00
The Hawthorns
Full time
42%
31%
27%
Home win
42.2%
Draw
30.6%
Away win
27.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom | 42.2% | 2.37 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.6% | 3.27 | — | — |
| Burnley | 27.3% | 3.67 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.7% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.3% | 8.16 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 64.5% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 35.5% | 2.82 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 36.8% | 2.72 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 63.2% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 17.4% | 5.75 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 82.6% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.9% | 14.52 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.1% | 1.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 43.8% | 2.28 | — | — |
| No | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom / Draw | 72.7% | 1.38 | — | — |
| West Brom / Burnley | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Draw / Burnley | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.3
|
9.9
|
5.0
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
13.3
|
14.0
|
6.2
|
1.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.7
|
8.1
|
3.8
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.6
|
3.3
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.1
|
1.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2021
Burnley
0-0
West Brom
Oct 2020
West Brom
0-0
Burnley
Mar 2018
West Brom
1-2
Burnley
Aug 2017
Burnley
0-1
West Brom
May 2017
Burnley
2-2
West Brom
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.