Saturday 22 October 2016, 17:00
Turf Moor
Full time
18%
29%
53%
Home win
18.4%
Draw
29.0%
Away win
52.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 18.4% | 5.44 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.0% | 3.45 | — | — |
| Everton | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.2% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.8% | 7.79 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 37.0% | 2.71 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 35.3% | 2.83 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 64.7% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 16.3% | 6.12 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 83.7% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.3% | 15.83 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.7% | 1.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 39.1% | 2.56 | — | — |
| No | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley / Draw | 47.4% | 2.11 | — | — |
| Burnley / Everton | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw / Everton | 81.6% | 1.23 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.8
|
16.2
|
11.8
|
5.5
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
| 1 |
7.9
|
12.8
|
8.4
|
3.9
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
| 2 |
3.1
|
4.3
|
3.0
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
0.7
|
1.0
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Everton
2-0
Burnley
Dec 2025
Burnley
0-0
Everton
Apr 2024
Everton
1-0
Burnley
Dec 2023
Burnley
0-2
Everton
Apr 2022
Burnley
3-2
Everton
Sep 2021
Everton
3-1
Burnley
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.