Saturday 15 October 2016, 17:00
Etihad Stadium
Full time
46%
26%
28%
Home win
46.5%
Draw
25.8%
Away win
27.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | 46.5% | 2.15 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.8% | 3.88 | — | — |
| Everton | 27.7% | 3.61 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.5% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.5% | 15.44 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78.4% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.6% | 4.63 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 54.2% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 45.8% | 2.18 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 31.9% | 3.13 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 68.1% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 16.0% | 6.24 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.0% | 1.19 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 57.3% | 1.75 | — | — |
| No | 42.7% | 2.34 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City / Draw | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Manchester City / Everton | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw / Everton | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.5
|
6.3
|
4.3
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
8.8
|
12.2
|
7.0
|
2.8
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.7
|
9.4
|
5.7
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
4.2
|
5.1
|
3.1
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.7
|
2.1
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.6
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Everton
3-3
Manchester City
Oct 2025
Manchester City
2-0
Everton
Apr 2025
Everton
0-2
Manchester City
Dec 2024
Manchester City
1-1
Everton
Feb 2024
Manchester City
2-0
Everton
Dec 2023
Everton
1-3
Manchester City
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.