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Saturday 17 September 2016, 17:00 Etihad Stadium Full time
Manchester City
4–0
HT 2–0
Bournemouth
54% 25% 22%
Home win
53.7%
Draw
24.6%
Away win
21.8%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Manchester City 53.7% 1.86 — —
Draw 24.6% 4.07 — —
Bournemouth 21.8% 4.59 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.5% 1.07 — —
Under 0.5 6.5% 15.49 — —
Over 1.5 78.4% 1.28 — —
Under 1.5 21.6% 4.62 — —
Over 2.5 54.2% 1.85 — —
Under 2.5 45.8% 2.18 — —
Over 3.5 31.9% 3.14 — —
Under 3.5 68.1% 1.47 — —
Over 4.5 16.0% 6.25 — —
Under 4.5 84.0% 1.19 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 55.1% 1.81 — —
No 44.9% 2.23 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Manchester City / Draw 78.2% 1.28 — —
Manchester City / Bournemouth 75.4% 1.33 — —
Draw / Bournemouth 46.3% 2.16 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.5
5.5
3.3
1.2
0.3
0.1
1
9.7
11.7
5.8
2.1
0.5
0.1
2
9.2
9.8
5.2
1.8
0.5
0.1
3
5.5
5.8
3.1
1.1
0.3
0.1
4
2.5
2.6
1.4
0.5
0.1
0.0
5
0.9
0.9
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Manchester City goals. Columns: Bournemouth goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Manchester City
W W W W
Bournemouth
L L D W

Head to head

May 2026 Bournemouth 1-1 Manchester City Nov 2025 Manchester City 3-1 Bournemouth May 2025 Manchester City 3-1 Bournemouth Nov 2024 Bournemouth 2-1 Manchester City Feb 2024 Bournemouth 0-1 Manchester City Nov 2023 Manchester City 6-1 Bournemouth

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.