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Saturday 27 August 2016, 17:00 Selhurst Park Full time
44% 14% 42%
Home win
44.1%
Draw
13.8%
Away win
42.1%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Crystal Palace 44.1% 2.27
Draw 13.8% 7.23
Bournemouth 42.1% 2.38

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 100.0% 1.00
Under 0.5 0.0% 3,125.00
Over 1.5 99.9% 1.00
Under 1.5 0.1% 775.19
Over 2.5 99.3% 1.01
Under 2.5 0.7% 137.36
Over 3.5 97.6% 1.02
Under 3.5 2.4% 41.02
Over 4.5 93.8% 1.07
Under 4.5 6.2% 16.11

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 97.6% 1.02
No 2.4% 41.41

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Crystal Palace / Draw 57.9% 1.73
Crystal Palace / Bournemouth 86.2% 1.16
Draw / Bournemouth 55.9% 1.79

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.2
1
0.0
0.3
0.6
0.9
1.0
0.9
2
0.1
0.6
1.4
2.1
2.3
2.0
3
0.2
1.0
2.1
3.1
3.3
2.9
4
0.2
1.1
2.3
3.4
3.7
3.2
5
0.2
0.9
2.1
3.0
3.3
2.9
Rows: Crystal Palace goals. Columns: Bournemouth goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.